Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 1er septembre ?
30°C 53%
29°C 27%
31°C 19%
27°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
27%
30°C
53%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 53%
29°C 27%
31°C 19%
27°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$35 Vol.
6%
29°C
$64 Vol.
27%
30°C
$180 Vol.
53%
31°C
$229 Vol.
19%
32°C
$133 Vol.
4%
33°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$782Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$782Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (53%) to a 30°C maximum in Ankara on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models that project highs of 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Stable high-pressure conditions favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology where average maxima reach 26–28°C. Minor model disagreements around 28–31°C account for the secondary probabilities on 29°C and 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited atmospheric moisture or frontal activity. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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