**Trader consensus for the Austin highest temperature on August 4, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 100–101°F due to persistent summer heat-wave conditions across Central Texas.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and models (ECMWF, GFS) projected daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s amid a strong high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and dry air that promoted strong daytime heating. Historical August climatology for Austin shows average highs near 95–97°F, with frequent exceedances of 100°F during similar patterns; recent days featured multiple triple-digit readings, reinforcing the expectation that August 4 would fall squarely in the 100–101°F range at the primary observing station (Austin Bergstrom International Airport). This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and observational trends rather than any single forecast. Realistic challenges to the 100–101°F outcome remain limited but include minor station-specific variations from urban heat-island effects, instrument calibration differences, or an unexpected late-day cooling event—though such shifts would need to exceed typical model error margins to alter the bin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 4 août ?
100-101 °F 100.0%
89°F ou moins <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93 °F <1%
$31,664 Vol.
$31,664 Vol.
4 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93 °F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101 °F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
100-101 °F 100.0%
89°F ou moins <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93 °F <1%
$31,664 Vol.
$31,664 Vol.
4 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$539 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
92-93 °F
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,976 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$5,311 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$6,738 Vol.
<1%
100-101 °F
$8,800 Vol.
100%
102-103°F
$3,289 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,225 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$670 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou plus
$551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for the Austin highest temperature on August 4, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 100–101°F due to persistent summer heat-wave conditions across Central Texas.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and models (ECMWF, GFS) projected daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s amid a strong high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and dry air that promoted strong daytime heating. Historical August climatology for Austin shows average highs near 95–97°F, with frequent exceedances of 100°F during similar patterns; recent days featured multiple triple-digit readings, reinforcing the expectation that August 4 would fall squarely in the 100–101°F range at the primary observing station (Austin Bergstrom International Airport).
This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and observational trends rather than any single forecast. Realistic challenges to the 100–101°F outcome remain limited but include minor station-specific variations from urban heat-island effects, instrument calibration differences, or an unexpected late-day cooling event—though such shifts would need to exceed typical model error margins to alter the bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$31,664Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for the Austin highest temperature on August 4, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 100–101°F due to persistent summer heat-wave conditions across Central Texas.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and models (ECMWF, GFS) projected daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s amid a strong high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and dry air that promoted strong daytime heating. Historical August climatology for Austin shows average highs near 95–97°F, with frequent exceedances of 100°F during similar patterns; recent days featured multiple triple-digit readings, reinforcing the expectation that August 4 would fall squarely in the 100–101°F range at the primary observing station (Austin Bergstrom International Airport).
This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and observational trends rather than any single forecast. Realistic challenges to the 100–101°F outcome remain limited but include minor station-specific variations from urban heat-island effects, instrument calibration differences, or an unexpected late-day cooling event—though such shifts would need to exceed typical model error margins to alter the bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,664Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for the Austin highest temperature on August 4, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 100–101°F due to persistent summer heat-wave conditions across Central Texas.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and models (ECMWF, GFS) projected daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s amid a strong high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and dry air that promoted strong daytime heating. Historical August climatology for Austin shows average highs near 95–97°F, with frequent exceedances of 100°F during similar patterns; recent days featured multiple triple-digit readings, reinforcing the expectation that August 4 would fall squarely in the 100–101°F range at the primary observing station (Austin Bergstrom International Airport). This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and observational trends rather than any single forecast. Realistic challenges to the 100–101°F outcome remain limited but include minor station-specific variations from urban heat-island effects, instrument calibration differences, or an unexpected late-day cooling event—though such shifts would need to exceed typical model error margins to alter the bin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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