Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 12–18 m/s advecting cooler marine air from the East Sea, combined with 40–80% cloud cover limiting surface insolation. These conditions, typical for early September post-monsoon transition, suppress daytime heating relative to historical averages around 27°C. Market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C reflect trader assessment of model spread in peak timing and any late-day clearing, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ account for the low likelihood of reduced winds or thinner cloud decks. Updated forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 6 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Busan le 6 septembre ?
29°C 35%
28°C 33%
30°C 15%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
33%
29°C
35%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C ou plus
2%
29°C 35%
28°C 33%
30°C 15%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$32 Vol.
1%
25°C
$105 Vol.
2%
26°C
$63 Vol.
5%
27°C
$177 Vol.
12%
28°C
$171 Vol.
33%
29°C
$529 Vol.
35%
30°C
$98 Vol.
15%
31°C
$50 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 12–18 m/s advecting cooler marine air from the East Sea, combined with 40–80% cloud cover limiting surface insolation. These conditions, typical for early September post-monsoon transition, suppress daytime heating relative to historical averages around 27°C. Market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C reflect trader assessment of model spread in peak timing and any late-day clearing, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ account for the low likelihood of reduced winds or thinner cloud decks. Updated forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,225Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 12–18 m/s advecting cooler marine air from the East Sea, combined with 40–80% cloud cover limiting surface insolation. These conditions, typical for early September post-monsoon transition, suppress daytime heating relative to historical averages around 27°C. Market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C reflect trader assessment of model spread in peak timing and any late-day clearing, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ account for the low likelihood of reduced winds or thinner cloud decks. Updated forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,225Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 12–18 m/s advecting cooler marine air from the East Sea, combined with 40–80% cloud cover limiting surface insolation. These conditions, typical for early September post-monsoon transition, suppress daytime heating relative to historical averages around 27°C. Market-implied odds favoring 28–29°C reflect trader assessment of model spread in peak timing and any late-day clearing, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ account for the low likelihood of reduced winds or thinner cloud decks. Updated forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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