**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 5 centers on 28–29°C, reflecting climatological averages and current forecast consensus.** August norms for the city show typical daily highs of 27–30°C, moderated by cooling northeasterly breezes off the Bosphorus and Black Sea that limit urban heat buildup. Recent official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources and international models projects partly sunny conditions with maxima near 29–30°C, aligning closely with seasonal baselines rather than the hotter 33°C+ extremes noted in some mid-week heat advisories. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further support these outcomes, as does the absence of strong high-pressure systems that could drive anomalous warming. Upcoming official station readings will resolve the market, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities between the tightly clustered 28°C and 29°C options.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 5 août ?
29°C 57%
28°C 36%
30°C 10%
27°C <1%
$29,777 Vol.
$29,777 Vol.
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
36%
29°C
57%
30°C
10%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 57%
28°C 36%
30°C 10%
27°C <1%
$29,777 Vol.
$29,777 Vol.
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
36%
29°C
57%
30°C
10%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 5 centers on 28–29°C, reflecting climatological averages and current forecast consensus.** August norms for the city show typical daily highs of 27–30°C, moderated by cooling northeasterly breezes off the Bosphorus and Black Sea that limit urban heat buildup. Recent official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources and international models projects partly sunny conditions with maxima near 29–30°C, aligning closely with seasonal baselines rather than the hotter 33°C+ extremes noted in some mid-week heat advisories. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further support these outcomes, as does the absence of strong high-pressure systems that could drive anomalous warming. Upcoming official station readings will resolve the market, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities between the tightly clustered 28°C and 29°C options.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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