Recent forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a high near 31–32°C for Jinan on September 18 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 26°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable late-summer conditions and limited model spread. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27°C, so the current outlook represents a modestly above-normal but well-supported outcome. A realistic challenge would require a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted shower that caps the daily maximum, though current model runs show low likelihood of such developments before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 18 septembre ?
26°C ou plus 99%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
19°C 3%
16°C ou moins
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C ou plus
99%
26°C ou plus 99%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
19°C 3%
16°C ou moins
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C ou plus
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a high near 31–32°C for Jinan on September 18 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 26°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable late-summer conditions and limited model spread. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27°C, so the current outlook represents a modestly above-normal but well-supported outcome. A realistic challenge would require a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted shower that caps the daily maximum, though current model runs show low likelihood of such developments before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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