**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum temperature centers on the moderating influence of active monsoon conditions, with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31 °C.** Forecast models from sources such as WeatherBug, the India Meteorological Department, and global ensembles consistently show a high probability of widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall on the day, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a trough over northern India. These factors limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30–31 °C. The tight distribution between 30 °C (29 %) and 31 °C (22.5 %), alongside meaningful probability on 29 °C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact timing, intensity, and spatial coverage of rain. Stronger or more persistent convective activity would favor the lower end of the range, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover or delayed onset of showers could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance on monsoon progression, which currently point to continued wet and humid conditions that suppress peak temperatures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 1er septembre ?
30°C 30%
29°C 28%
31°C 24%
32°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
29°C 28%
31°C 24%
32°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
25°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$5 Vol.
17%
30°C
$9 Vol.
30%
31°C
$157 Vol.
24%
32°C
$13 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum temperature centers on the moderating influence of active monsoon conditions, with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31 °C.**
Forecast models from sources such as WeatherBug, the India Meteorological Department, and global ensembles consistently show a high probability of widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall on the day, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a trough over northern India. These factors limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30–31 °C.
The tight distribution between 30 °C (29 %) and 31 °C (22.5 %), alongside meaningful probability on 29 °C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact timing, intensity, and spatial coverage of rain. Stronger or more persistent convective activity would favor the lower end of the range, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover or delayed onset of showers could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance on monsoon progression, which currently point to continued wet and humid conditions that suppress peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$275Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum temperature centers on the moderating influence of active monsoon conditions, with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31 °C.**
Forecast models from sources such as WeatherBug, the India Meteorological Department, and global ensembles consistently show a high probability of widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall on the day, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a trough over northern India. These factors limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30–31 °C.
The tight distribution between 30 °C (29 %) and 31 °C (22.5 %), alongside meaningful probability on 29 °C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact timing, intensity, and spatial coverage of rain. Stronger or more persistent convective activity would favor the lower end of the range, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover or delayed onset of showers could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance on monsoon progression, which currently point to continued wet and humid conditions that suppress peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$275Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum temperature centers on the moderating influence of active monsoon conditions, with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31 °C.** Forecast models from sources such as WeatherBug, the India Meteorological Department, and global ensembles consistently show a high probability of widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall on the day, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a trough over northern India. These factors limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30–31 °C. The tight distribution between 30 °C (29 %) and 31 °C (22.5 %), alongside meaningful probability on 29 °C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact timing, intensity, and spatial coverage of rain. Stronger or more persistent convective activity would favor the lower end of the range, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover or delayed onset of showers could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance on monsoon progression, which currently point to continued wet and humid conditions that suppress peak temperatures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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