Active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including a persistent trough and moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving the outlook for Lucknow on September 2. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate an overcast sky with spells of rain or thundershowers, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime highs near 30°C, close to the recent observed maximum of 30.7°C on September 1. High humidity, easterly winds, and widespread precipitation further moderate temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These factors align with market-implied probabilities favoring 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models and historical early-September patterns under active monsoon influence. Updated IMD briefings and any shifts in rainfall intensity remain key near-term variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 2 septembre ?
30°C 39%
31°C 31%
29°C 18%
32°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
39%
31°C
31%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 39%
31°C 31%
29°C 18%
32°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
39%
31°C
31%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including a persistent trough and moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving the outlook for Lucknow on September 2. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate an overcast sky with spells of rain or thundershowers, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime highs near 30°C, close to the recent observed maximum of 30.7°C on September 1. High humidity, easterly winds, and widespread precipitation further moderate temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These factors align with market-implied probabilities favoring 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models and historical early-September patterns under active monsoon influence. Updated IMD briefings and any shifts in rainfall intensity remain key near-term variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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