Recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) extended-range outlooks and numerical weather models show persistent monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate daytime heating in Lucknow through early September. Above-normal maximum temperatures are projected for the month overall due to El Niño influences, yet cloud cover and rainfall on September 3 are likely to cap highs near 30–31°C rather than allowing stronger warming. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on precipitation timing against potential breaks in monsoon activity that could push readings higher. Updated IMD district forecasts and ensemble runs ahead of September 3 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 3 septembre ?
30°C 38%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
38%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
4%
30°C 38%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
38%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) extended-range outlooks and numerical weather models show persistent monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate daytime heating in Lucknow through early September. Above-normal maximum temperatures are projected for the month overall due to El Niño influences, yet cloud cover and rainfall on September 3 are likely to cap highs near 30–31°C rather than allowing stronger warming. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on precipitation timing against potential breaks in monsoon activity that could push readings higher. Updated IMD district forecasts and ensemble runs ahead of September 3 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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