Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance and local meteorological services, position Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 3 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds. A building high-pressure system and moderate westerly flow are suppressing stronger warming after late-August peaks, while increasing cloud cover and lower dew points limit daytime heating potential. Historical climatology for early September in central Poland shows average highs around 20–22°C, providing context for the current moderate setup. Short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though ensemble spreads and any late adjustments in steering patterns could shift the final observed high before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 septembre ?
23°C 40%
22°C 23%
24°C 23%
21°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22°C
23%
23°C
40%
24°C
23%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 23%
24°C 23%
21°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
19°C
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$20 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance and local meteorological services, position Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 3 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds. A building high-pressure system and moderate westerly flow are suppressing stronger warming after late-August peaks, while increasing cloud cover and lower dew points limit daytime heating potential. Historical climatology for early September in central Poland shows average highs around 20–22°C, providing context for the current moderate setup. Short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though ensemble spreads and any late adjustments in steering patterns could shift the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$45Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance and local meteorological services, position Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 3 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds. A building high-pressure system and moderate westerly flow are suppressing stronger warming after late-August peaks, while increasing cloud cover and lower dew points limit daytime heating potential. Historical climatology for early September in central Poland shows average highs around 20–22°C, providing context for the current moderate setup. Short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though ensemble spreads and any late adjustments in steering patterns could shift the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance and local meteorological services, position Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 3 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those thresholds. A building high-pressure system and moderate westerly flow are suppressing stronger warming after late-August peaks, while increasing cloud cover and lower dew points limit daytime heating potential. Historical climatology for early September in central Poland shows average highs around 20–22°C, providing context for the current moderate setup. Short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though ensemble spreads and any late adjustments in steering patterns could shift the final observed high before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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