Forecast models from agencies and ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under westerly flow, moderate pressure around 1013 hPa, and variable cloud cover with a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent cooling from the +24–26°C peak on September 1 has shifted the pattern, with GFS and similar guidance showing afternoon highs clustering in this narrow range due to increasing humidity and reduced insolation. Close market probabilities around 18–21°C reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while historical September 3 averages near 19°C provide context for the current consensus. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the precise peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 3 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 3 septembre ?
20°C 38%
19°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
12%
18°C
21%
19°C
29%
20°C
38%
21°C
17%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 38%
19°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
12%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$13 Vol.
6%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under westerly flow, moderate pressure around 1013 hPa, and variable cloud cover with a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent cooling from the +24–26°C peak on September 1 has shifted the pattern, with GFS and similar guidance showing afternoon highs clustering in this narrow range due to increasing humidity and reduced insolation. Close market probabilities around 18–21°C reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while historical September 3 averages near 19°C provide context for the current consensus. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$354Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under westerly flow, moderate pressure around 1013 hPa, and variable cloud cover with a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent cooling from the +24–26°C peak on September 1 has shifted the pattern, with GFS and similar guidance showing afternoon highs clustering in this narrow range due to increasing humidity and reduced insolation. Close market probabilities around 18–21°C reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while historical September 3 averages near 19°C provide context for the current consensus. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$354Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under westerly flow, moderate pressure around 1013 hPa, and variable cloud cover with a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent cooling from the +24–26°C peak on September 1 has shifted the pattern, with GFS and similar guidance showing afternoon highs clustering in this narrow range due to increasing humidity and reduced insolation. Close market probabilities around 18–21°C reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while historical September 3 averages near 19°C provide context for the current consensus. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the precise peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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