Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting a maximum temperature in Milan on September 3 most likely in the 31–33°C range. Model runs show afternoon peaks reaching 32–33°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer conditions where solar heating and downslope flow contribute to daytime maxima several degrees above the early-September climatological average of roughly 26–28°C. Updated guidance through September 1 reinforces this consensus without significant model spread, though minor timing shifts in peak insolation could still adjust the exact high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 3 septembre ?
32°C 45%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C
24%
32°C
45%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 45%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
4%
29°C
$6 Vol.
7%
30°C
$5 Vol.
9%
31°C
$70 Vol.
24%
32°C
$86 Vol.
45%
33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting a maximum temperature in Milan on September 3 most likely in the 31–33°C range. Model runs show afternoon peaks reaching 32–33°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer conditions where solar heating and downslope flow contribute to daytime maxima several degrees above the early-September climatological average of roughly 26–28°C. Updated guidance through September 1 reinforces this consensus without significant model spread, though minor timing shifts in peak insolation could still adjust the exact high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$701Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting a maximum temperature in Milan on September 3 most likely in the 31–33°C range. Model runs show afternoon peaks reaching 32–33°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer conditions where solar heating and downslope flow contribute to daytime maxima several degrees above the early-September climatological average of roughly 26–28°C. Updated guidance through September 1 reinforces this consensus without significant model spread, though minor timing shifts in peak insolation could still adjust the exact high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$701Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern over northern Italy, supporting a maximum temperature in Milan on September 3 most likely in the 31–33°C range. Model runs show afternoon peaks reaching 32–33°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer conditions where solar heating and downslope flow contribute to daytime maxima several degrees above the early-September climatological average of roughly 26–28°C. Updated guidance through September 1 reinforces this consensus without significant model spread, though minor timing shifts in peak insolation could still adjust the exact high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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