Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan will experience clear, high-pressure conditions on September 3, with daytime highs near 31–32°C and overnight radiative cooling limited by warm advection, producing minimum temperatures around 21–22°C. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C-or-higher outcome while keeping mid-20s probabilities elevated. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows near 17°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by persistent southerly flow and low humidity—explains why colder bins below 18°C carry lower implied odds despite residual model spread. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 3 septembre ?
23°C or higher 69%
13°C or below 59%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
13°C or below
59%
14°C
19%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
69%
23°C or higher 69%
13°C or below 59%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
59%
14°C
$5 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan will experience clear, high-pressure conditions on September 3, with daytime highs near 31–32°C and overnight radiative cooling limited by warm advection, producing minimum temperatures around 21–22°C. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C-or-higher outcome while keeping mid-20s probabilities elevated. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows near 17°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by persistent southerly flow and low humidity—explains why colder bins below 18°C carry lower implied odds despite residual model spread. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan will experience clear, high-pressure conditions on September 3, with daytime highs near 31–32°C and overnight radiative cooling limited by warm advection, producing minimum temperatures around 21–22°C. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C-or-higher outcome while keeping mid-20s probabilities elevated. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows near 17°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by persistent southerly flow and low humidity—explains why colder bins below 18°C carry lower implied odds despite residual model spread. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan will experience clear, high-pressure conditions on September 3, with daytime highs near 31–32°C and overnight radiative cooling limited by warm advection, producing minimum temperatures around 21–22°C. This setup favors the market's leading 23°C-or-higher outcome while keeping mid-20s probabilities elevated. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows near 17°C, so the current warm anomaly—driven by persistent southerly flow and low humidity—explains why colder bins below 18°C carry lower implied odds despite residual model spread. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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