Recent official forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and regional models converge on a daytime high of 22–23°C in Warsaw for September 2 under building high pressure (around 1019 hPa) and light westerly flow. Clear to partly cloudy skies and low humidity (around 40–50%) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with climatological September maxima near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors these outcomes because updated model runs through late August show minimal variability and no incoming fronts or stronger advection that would shift temperatures outside this narrow range. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Warsaw station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 2 septembre ?
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 13%
21°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 13%
21°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and regional models converge on a daytime high of 22–23°C in Warsaw for September 2 under building high pressure (around 1019 hPa) and light westerly flow. Clear to partly cloudy skies and low humidity (around 40–50%) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with climatological September maxima near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors these outcomes because updated model runs through late August show minimal variability and no incoming fronts or stronger advection that would shift temperatures outside this narrow range. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Warsaw station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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