Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 1er septembre ?
22°C or higher 87%
12°C or below 85%
17°C 47%
14°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
12°C or below
85%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
30%
16°C
28%
17°C
47%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
87%
22°C or higher 87%
12°C or below 85%
17°C 47%
14°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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