**Persistent monsoon rains and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (21.5%).** A low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal region continues to steer moisture into Uttar Pradesh, sustaining overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Official observations from September 2 recorded a maximum of 30.5°C (three degrees below normal) after heavy overnight rainfall, with similar suppressed readings across nearby districts. Short-range models (IMD, Met Office, and others) converge on highs of 30–33°C for September 4 amid continued 70–90% rain probabilities, while longer-term climatology shows September averages near 32–33°C before the typical post-monsoon rise. Recent model runs have not shown significant warming trends, keeping trader consensus clustered on the 30–32°C band rather than higher outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 4 septembre ?
31°C 45%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
45%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C ou plus
2%
31°C 45%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$91 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$106 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$83 Vol.
2%
29°C
$188 Vol.
5%
30°C
$218 Vol.
19%
31°C
$219 Vol.
45%
32°C
$293 Vol.
26%
33°C
$28 Vol.
6%
34°C
$35 Vol.
2%
35°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon rains and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (21.5%).**
A low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal region continues to steer moisture into Uttar Pradesh, sustaining overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Official observations from September 2 recorded a maximum of 30.5°C (three degrees below normal) after heavy overnight rainfall, with similar suppressed readings across nearby districts. Short-range models (IMD, Met Office, and others) converge on highs of 30–33°C for September 4 amid continued 70–90% rain probabilities, while longer-term climatology shows September averages near 32–33°C before the typical post-monsoon rise. Recent model runs have not shown significant warming trends, keeping trader consensus clustered on the 30–32°C band rather than higher outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,260Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon rains and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (21.5%).**
A low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal region continues to steer moisture into Uttar Pradesh, sustaining overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Official observations from September 2 recorded a maximum of 30.5°C (three degrees below normal) after heavy overnight rainfall, with similar suppressed readings across nearby districts. Short-range models (IMD, Met Office, and others) converge on highs of 30–33°C for September 4 amid continued 70–90% rain probabilities, while longer-term climatology shows September averages near 32–33°C before the typical post-monsoon rise. Recent model runs have not shown significant warming trends, keeping trader consensus clustered on the 30–32°C band rather than higher outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,260Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon rains and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (21.5%).** A low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal region continues to steer moisture into Uttar Pradesh, sustaining overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Official observations from September 2 recorded a maximum of 30.5°C (three degrees below normal) after heavy overnight rainfall, with similar suppressed readings across nearby districts. Short-range models (IMD, Met Office, and others) converge on highs of 30–33°C for September 4 amid continued 70–90% rain probabilities, while longer-term climatology shows September averages near 32–33°C before the typical post-monsoon rise. Recent model runs have not shown significant warming trends, keeping trader consensus clustered on the 30–32°C band rather than higher outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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