Persistent monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over eastern India and steady moisture inflow from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover and showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C in Lucknow. Recent observations show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid 25–35 mm daily rainfall, consistent with active monsoon trough positioning. Numerical weather models diverge slightly on exact clearing timing and rainfall totals for September 4, creating tight market clustering around 26°C (50.5%) and 27°C (46.5%) as traders weigh the balance between continued suppression of cooling versus any brief clear-sky window that could allow a dip toward 24–25°C. Official IMD guidance through early September emphasizes these humid, overcast conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Lucknow le 4 septembre ?
21 °C ou moins 85%
24°C 83%
31°C ou plus 83%
28°C 66%
21 °C ou moins
85%
22°C
13%
23°C
64%
24°C
83%
25°C
44%
26°C
54%
27°C
44%
28°C
66%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
83%
21 °C ou moins 85%
24°C 83%
31°C ou plus 83%
28°C 66%
21 °C ou moins
85%
22°C
13%
23°C
64%
24°C
83%
25°C
44%
26°C
54%
27°C
44%
28°C
66%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over eastern India and steady moisture inflow from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover and showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C in Lucknow. Recent observations show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid 25–35 mm daily rainfall, consistent with active monsoon trough positioning. Numerical weather models diverge slightly on exact clearing timing and rainfall totals for September 4, creating tight market clustering around 26°C (50.5%) and 27°C (46.5%) as traders weigh the balance between continued suppression of cooling versus any brief clear-sky window that could allow a dip toward 24–25°C. Official IMD guidance through early September emphasizes these humid, overcast conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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