**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, set the expected high for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, at 33°C, with lows near 25–26°C and moderate rain chances of 10–40%.** This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average daytime maxima reach about 32°C amid the early southwest monsoon, high humidity, and typical convective activity. Traders have priced 33°C at 98.5% because multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on this value, with narrow uncertainty ranges around the threshold. Historical analogs for the period show daily peaks clustering between 31–34°C, making exactly 33°C the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of convection, a sharper-than-expected wind shift, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the official reading to 34°C or holding it at 32°C—both low-probability shifts given the stable model consensus and proximity to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 99.4%
34°C 1.5%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$23,901 Vol.
$23,901 Vol.
11 juin 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.4%
34°C 1.5%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$23,901 Vol.
$23,901 Vol.
11 juin 2026
28°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,972 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,325 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,955 Vol.
99%
34°C
$2,998 Vol.
2%
35°C
$2,958 Vol.
1%
36°C
$3,441 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,201 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$517 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, set the expected high for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, at 33°C, with lows near 25–26°C and moderate rain chances of 10–40%.** This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average daytime maxima reach about 32°C amid the early southwest monsoon, high humidity, and typical convective activity.
Traders have priced 33°C at 98.5% because multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on this value, with narrow uncertainty ranges around the threshold. Historical analogs for the period show daily peaks clustering between 31–34°C, making exactly 33°C the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of convection, a sharper-than-expected wind shift, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the official reading to 34°C or holding it at 32°C—both low-probability shifts given the stable model consensus and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$23,901Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, set the expected high for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, at 33°C, with lows near 25–26°C and moderate rain chances of 10–40%.** This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average daytime maxima reach about 32°C amid the early southwest monsoon, high humidity, and typical convective activity.
Traders have priced 33°C at 98.5% because multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on this value, with narrow uncertainty ranges around the threshold. Historical analogs for the period show daily peaks clustering between 31–34°C, making exactly 33°C the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of convection, a sharper-than-expected wind shift, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the official reading to 34°C or holding it at 32°C—both low-probability shifts given the stable model consensus and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,901Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, set the expected high for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, at 33°C, with lows near 25–26°C and moderate rain chances of 10–40%.** This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average daytime maxima reach about 32°C amid the early southwest monsoon, high humidity, and typical convective activity. Traders have priced 33°C at 98.5% because multiple model runs and agency outlooks converge on this value, with narrow uncertainty ranges around the threshold. Historical analogs for the period show daily peaks clustering between 31–34°C, making exactly 33°C the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of convection, a sharper-than-expected wind shift, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the official reading to 34°C or holding it at 32°C—both low-probability shifts given the stable model consensus and proximity to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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