**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25, 2026, consistently point to a daily high near 21–23°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes (23°C at 45.5%, 22°C at 26.5%, 24°C at 12.5%).** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Met Office guidance, project highs around 70–73°F (21–23°C) under mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below the August climatological average of ~23–24°C. Mexico City's high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects interact with incoming moisture and a recent cooler air mass—evidenced by August 24 alerts for lows near 8–10°C in higher-elevation alcaldías and widespread rain—to keep daytime maxima moderate. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited disagreement on peak values, with rain timing and cloud thickness as the main variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global model runs, which currently favor 22–23°C resolution while assigning lower probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C absent significant forecast revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 25 août ?
23°C 46%
22°C 27%
24°C 13%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
46%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C ou plus
1%
23°C 46%
22°C 27%
24°C 13%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$784 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
1%
20°C
$175 Vol.
3%
21°C
$284 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,929 Vol.
27%
23°C
$294 Vol.
46%
24°C
$529 Vol.
13%
25°C
$301 Vol.
3%
26°C ou plus
$477 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25, 2026, consistently point to a daily high near 21–23°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes (23°C at 45.5%, 22°C at 26.5%, 24°C at 12.5%).**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Met Office guidance, project highs around 70–73°F (21–23°C) under mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below the August climatological average of ~23–24°C.
Mexico City's high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects interact with incoming moisture and a recent cooler air mass—evidenced by August 24 alerts for lows near 8–10°C in higher-elevation alcaldías and widespread rain—to keep daytime maxima moderate. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited disagreement on peak values, with rain timing and cloud thickness as the main variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Traders are weighting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global model runs, which currently favor 22–23°C resolution while assigning lower probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C absent significant forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$5,215Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25, 2026, consistently point to a daily high near 21–23°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes (23°C at 45.5%, 22°C at 26.5%, 24°C at 12.5%).**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Met Office guidance, project highs around 70–73°F (21–23°C) under mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below the August climatological average of ~23–24°C.
Mexico City's high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects interact with incoming moisture and a recent cooler air mass—evidenced by August 24 alerts for lows near 8–10°C in higher-elevation alcaldías and widespread rain—to keep daytime maxima moderate. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited disagreement on peak values, with rain timing and cloud thickness as the main variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Traders are weighting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global model runs, which currently favor 22–23°C resolution while assigning lower probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C absent significant forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,215Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 25, 2026, consistently point to a daily high near 21–23°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes (23°C at 45.5%, 22°C at 26.5%, 24°C at 12.5%).** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Met Office guidance, project highs around 70–73°F (21–23°C) under mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below the August climatological average of ~23–24°C. Mexico City's high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects interact with incoming moisture and a recent cooler air mass—evidenced by August 24 alerts for lows near 8–10°C in higher-elevation alcaldías and widespread rain—to keep daytime maxima moderate. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited disagreement on peak values, with rain timing and cloud thickness as the main variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global model runs, which currently favor 22–23°C resolution while assigning lower probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C absent significant forecast revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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