Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum in Milan on June 13, with high pressure and modest southerly flow supporting gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings. Current guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological norms for early June and no strong signals for rapid intensification or cooling. Trader probabilities align closely with this consensus, assigning over 60% combined weight to 30–33°C while discounting extremes below 29°C or above 34°C given the short lead time and typical model skill at this range. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on June 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 13?
31°C 36%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
27%
33°C
16%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
28°C or below
$1 Vol.
2%
29°C
$73 Vol.
8%
30°C
$24 Vol.
18%
31°C
$94 Vol.
36%
32°C
$66 Vol.
27%
33°C
$117 Vol.
16%
34°C
$20 Vol.
7%
35°C
$31 Vol.
1%
36°C
$15 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$99 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum in Milan on June 13, with high pressure and modest southerly flow supporting gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings. Current guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological norms for early June and no strong signals for rapid intensification or cooling. Trader probabilities align closely with this consensus, assigning over 60% combined weight to 30–33°C while discounting extremes below 29°C or above 34°C given the short lead time and typical model skill at this range. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$523Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum in Milan on June 13, with high pressure and modest southerly flow supporting gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings. Current guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological norms for early June and no strong signals for rapid intensification or cooling. Trader probabilities align closely with this consensus, assigning over 60% combined weight to 30–33°C while discounting extremes below 29°C or above 34°C given the short lead time and typical model skill at this range. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$523Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum in Milan on June 13, with high pressure and modest southerly flow supporting gradual warming from recent 28–30°C readings. Current guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological norms for early June and no strong signals for rapid intensification or cooling. Trader probabilities align closely with this consensus, assigning over 60% combined weight to 30–33°C while discounting extremes below 29°C or above 34°C given the short lead time and typical model skill at this range. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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