Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 22 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 22 septembre ?
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$10,134 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,134 Vol.
22 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
66%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$10,134 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,134 Vol.
22 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$796 Vol.
3%
24°C
$3,324 Vol.
66%
25°C
$1,608 Vol.
31%
26°C
$1,014 Vol.
4%
27°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$10,134Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,134Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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