**Forecast models from Météo-France and global ensembles project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 12–13°C under mostly clear skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C due to uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Clear conditions and light northeasterly winds favor greater heat loss after sunset, while small differences in dew point, cloud cover timing, or urban heat island effects could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, providing context, but short-term model runs show limited spread. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Météo-France, with the next model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before the close of trading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Paris le 22 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Paris le 22 septembre ?
10°C 42%
11°C 33%
9°C 29%
7°C ou moins 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
6%
8°C
2%
9°C
29%
10°C
42%
11°C
33%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C ou plus
2%
10°C 42%
11°C 33%
9°C 29%
7°C ou moins 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
6%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$272 Vol.
29%
10°C
$674 Vol.
42%
11°C
$483 Vol.
33%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and global ensembles project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 12–13°C under mostly clear skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C due to uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Clear conditions and light northeasterly winds favor greater heat loss after sunset, while small differences in dew point, cloud cover timing, or urban heat island effects could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, providing context, but short-term model runs show limited spread. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Météo-France, with the next model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before the close of trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,408Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and global ensembles project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 12–13°C under mostly clear skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C due to uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Clear conditions and light northeasterly winds favor greater heat loss after sunset, while small differences in dew point, cloud cover timing, or urban heat island effects could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, providing context, but short-term model runs show limited spread. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Météo-France, with the next model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before the close of trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,408Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Météo-France and global ensembles project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 12–13°C under mostly clear skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–11°C due to uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Clear conditions and light northeasterly winds favor greater heat loss after sunset, while small differences in dew point, cloud cover timing, or urban heat island effects could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 11°C, providing context, but short-term model runs show limited spread. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Météo-France, with the next model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before the close of trading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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