Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 14 août ?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
14 août 2026
26°C ou moins
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C ou plus
Non
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
14 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$1,420 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,420 Vol.
Non
28°C
$3,168 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,998 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,315 Vol.
Non
31°C
$3,480 Vol.
Non
32°C
$5,614 Vol.
Non
33°C
$2,714 Vol.
Oui
34°C
$5,415 Vol.
Non
35°C
$1,632 Vol.
Non
36°C ou plus
$834 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$32,011Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,011Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes