Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 94%
31°C or higher 6%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$22,960 Vol.
$22,960 Vol.
11 juin 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
94%
31°C or higher
6%
30°C 94%
31°C or higher 6%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$22,960 Vol.
$22,960 Vol.
11 juin 2026
21°C or below
$517 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$544 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,144 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,880 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,967 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,381 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,148 Vol.
94%
31°C or higher
$4,383 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$22,960Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,960Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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