Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions for Qingdao on September 2, 2026, with northerly to northeasterly winds of 4–5 m/s moderating coastal temperatures under moderate humidity. Model consensus clusters daily maxima around 26–28°C, consistent with early-September climatology near 26°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and insolation could push readings to 29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the near-even split between 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) implied probabilities, appears driven by residual uncertainty in high-resolution guidance and potential for localized warming under prolonged clear skies. Key upcoming updates include the final CMA and numerical model runs early on September 2, which will refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 2 septembre ?
29°C 60%
30°C 35%
26°C 7%
31°C 7%
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
60%
30°C
35%
31°C
7%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C ou plus
1%
29°C 60%
30°C 35%
26°C 7%
31°C 7%
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
60%
30°C
35%
31°C
7%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions for Qingdao on September 2, 2026, with northerly to northeasterly winds of 4–5 m/s moderating coastal temperatures under moderate humidity. Model consensus clusters daily maxima around 26–28°C, consistent with early-September climatology near 26°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and insolation could push readings to 29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the near-even split between 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) implied probabilities, appears driven by residual uncertainty in high-resolution guidance and potential for localized warming under prolonged clear skies. Key upcoming updates include the final CMA and numerical model runs early on September 2, which will refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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