Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 15 août ?
68-69 °F 100.0%
59°F ou moins <1%
60-61 °F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$28,250 Vol.
$28,250 Vol.
15 août 2026
59°F ou moins
Non
60-61 °F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69 °F
Oui
70-71°F
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78°F ou plus
Non
68-69 °F 100.0%
59°F ou moins <1%
60-61 °F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$28,250 Vol.
$28,250 Vol.
15 août 2026
59°F ou moins
$756 Vol.
Non
60-61 °F
$510 Vol.
Non
62-63°F
$4,035 Vol.
Non
64-65 °F
$1,920 Vol.
Non
66-67°F
$4,244 Vol.
Non
68-69 °F
$6,585 Vol.
Oui
70-71°F
$4,078 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$2,264 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$1,939 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$1,297 Vol.
Non
78°F ou plus
$623 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$28,250Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,250Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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