Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, projecting São Paulo's maximum temperature on May 14 at 25-26°C amid overcast skies and moderate southerly winds from a lingering cold front that cooled early May highs from near 27°C to the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model spread driven by uncertain timing of peak solar heating, urban heat island effects at monitoring stations like Congonhas Airport, and potential sea breeze intensification suppressing 27°C outcomes while cloudiness caps below 24°C. Historical mid-May averages hover at 23°C per INMET climatology, but current atmospheric stability favors the 25°C lead. Watch INMET's daily briefing and 12Z model updates on May 13 for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
26°C 33%
25°C 32%
24°C 19%
27°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$12,413 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,413 Vol.
14 mai 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 32%
24°C 19%
27°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$12,413 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,413 Vol.
14 mai 2026
21°C or below
$1,007 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,105 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,612 Vol.
19%
25°C
$1,247 Vol.
32%
26°C
$935 Vol.
33%
27°C
$2,100 Vol.
13%
28°C
$1,162 Vol.
3%
29°C
$564 Vol.
1%
30°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$775 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, projecting São Paulo's maximum temperature on May 14 at 25-26°C amid overcast skies and moderate southerly winds from a lingering cold front that cooled early May highs from near 27°C to the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model spread driven by uncertain timing of peak solar heating, urban heat island effects at monitoring stations like Congonhas Airport, and potential sea breeze intensification suppressing 27°C outcomes while cloudiness caps below 24°C. Historical mid-May averages hover at 23°C per INMET climatology, but current atmospheric stability favors the 25°C lead. Watch INMET's daily briefing and 12Z model updates on May 13 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$12,413Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, projecting São Paulo's maximum temperature on May 14 at 25-26°C amid overcast skies and moderate southerly winds from a lingering cold front that cooled early May highs from near 27°C to the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model spread driven by uncertain timing of peak solar heating, urban heat island effects at monitoring stations like Congonhas Airport, and potential sea breeze intensification suppressing 27°C outcomes while cloudiness caps below 24°C. Historical mid-May averages hover at 23°C per INMET climatology, but current atmospheric stability favors the 25°C lead. Watch INMET's daily briefing and 12Z model updates on May 13 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,413Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, projecting São Paulo's maximum temperature on May 14 at 25-26°C amid overcast skies and moderate southerly winds from a lingering cold front that cooled early May highs from near 27°C to the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model spread driven by uncertain timing of peak solar heating, urban heat island effects at monitoring stations like Congonhas Airport, and potential sea breeze intensification suppressing 27°C outcomes while cloudiness caps below 24°C. Historical mid-May averages hover at 23°C per INMET climatology, but current atmospheric stability favors the 25°C lead. Watch INMET's daily briefing and 12Z model updates on May 13 for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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