Official measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 17 mai ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 17 mai ?
$62,134 Vol.
$62,134 Vol.
17 mai 2026
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
$62,134 Vol.
$62,134 Vol.
17 mai 2026
22°C
$13,449 Vol.
100%
23°C or higher
$13,639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$62,134Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,134Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGROfficial measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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