Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a daily maximum temperature in Beijing on May 18 between 25°C and 27°C, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those outcomes. Moderate southerly flow is expected to bring slightly warmer air, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection should cap peak heating below recent early-May values. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 26–28°C, while steering patterns from a lingering trough to the north limit stronger warming. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Beijing Meteorological Service on May 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 18 mai ?
26°C 26%
25°C 26%
27°C 19%
24°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 26%
25°C 26%
27°C 19%
24°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
$2,196 Vol.
4%
23°C
$676 Vol.
3%
24°C
$899 Vol.
18%
25°C
$200 Vol.
26%
26°C
$508 Vol.
26%
27°C
$328 Vol.
19%
28°C
$151 Vol.
6%
29°C
$316 Vol.
3%
30°C
$181 Vol.
1%
31°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$625 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a daily maximum temperature in Beijing on May 18 between 25°C and 27°C, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those outcomes. Moderate southerly flow is expected to bring slightly warmer air, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection should cap peak heating below recent early-May values. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 26–28°C, while steering patterns from a lingering trough to the north limit stronger warming. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Beijing Meteorological Service on May 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,586Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a daily maximum temperature in Beijing on May 18 between 25°C and 27°C, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those outcomes. Moderate southerly flow is expected to bring slightly warmer air, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection should cap peak heating below recent early-May values. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 26–28°C, while steering patterns from a lingering trough to the north limit stronger warming. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Beijing Meteorological Service on May 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,586Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a daily maximum temperature in Beijing on May 18 between 25°C and 27°C, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those outcomes. Moderate southerly flow is expected to bring slightly warmer air, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection should cap peak heating below recent early-May values. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 26–28°C, while steering patterns from a lingering trough to the north limit stronger warming. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Beijing Meteorological Service on May 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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