Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 8 mai ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 8 mai ?
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
8 mai 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
8 mai 2026
23°C ou moins
$2,999 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,428 Vol.
Non
25°C
$3,232 Vol.
Non
26°C
$14,013 Vol.
Non
27°C
$8,486 Vol.
Non
28°C
$27,357 Vol.
Non
29°C
$8,291 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$9,849 Vol.
Non
31°C
$8,261 Vol.
Non
32°C
$6,653 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$11,927 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$104,497Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$104,497Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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