**Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather show persistent cloud cover, showers, and thundershowers across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 25–26°C.** Typical August climatology features highs of 29–31°C (historical averages around 29°C at Incheon), but easterly flow combined with moisture from nearby systems has increased precipitation probability to 60% and reduced insolation. This has shifted trader consensus toward the 26°C bin (72.9% implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current conditions. The 27°C outcome (22%) retains secondary support if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming, while higher thresholds (28°C+) remain low-probability (under 5% combined) absent significant forecast revisions. Lower outcomes below 25°C carry minimal weight given minimum temperatures near 24°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 16 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 16 août ?
26°C 73.0%
27°C 22%
28°C 4%
30°C <1%
$97,633 Vol.
$97,633 Vol.
16 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
73%
27°C
22%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 73.0%
27°C 22%
28°C 4%
30°C <1%
$97,633 Vol.
$97,633 Vol.
16 août 2026
22°C or below
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,782 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,240 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$16,724 Vol.
73%
27°C
$12,808 Vol.
22%
28°C
$14,814 Vol.
4%
29°C
$12,870 Vol.
1%
30°C
$13,198 Vol.
1%
31°C
$7,277 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$7,704 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather show persistent cloud cover, showers, and thundershowers across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 25–26°C.**
Typical August climatology features highs of 29–31°C (historical averages around 29°C at Incheon), but easterly flow combined with moisture from nearby systems has increased precipitation probability to 60% and reduced insolation. This has shifted trader consensus toward the 26°C bin (72.9% implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current conditions. The 27°C outcome (22%) retains secondary support if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming, while higher thresholds (28°C+) remain low-probability (under 5% combined) absent significant forecast revisions. Lower outcomes below 25°C carry minimal weight given minimum temperatures near 24°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$97,633Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather show persistent cloud cover, showers, and thundershowers across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 25–26°C.**
Typical August climatology features highs of 29–31°C (historical averages around 29°C at Incheon), but easterly flow combined with moisture from nearby systems has increased precipitation probability to 60% and reduced insolation. This has shifted trader consensus toward the 26°C bin (72.9% implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current conditions. The 27°C outcome (22%) retains secondary support if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming, while higher thresholds (28°C+) remain low-probability (under 5% combined) absent significant forecast revisions. Lower outcomes below 25°C carry minimal weight given minimum temperatures near 24°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97,633Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather show persistent cloud cover, showers, and thundershowers across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 25–26°C.** Typical August climatology features highs of 29–31°C (historical averages around 29°C at Incheon), but easterly flow combined with moisture from nearby systems has increased precipitation probability to 60% and reduced insolation. This has shifted trader consensus toward the 26°C bin (72.9% implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current conditions. The 27°C outcome (22%) retains secondary support if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming, while higher thresholds (28°C+) remain low-probability (under 5% combined) absent significant forecast revisions. Lower outcomes below 25°C carry minimal weight given minimum temperatures near 24°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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