Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of peak temperatures reaching or exceeding 25°C in Seoul on May 18, driven by a warm air mass advected from the south under high-pressure dominance and clear skies that enhance daytime solar heating. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights daytime highs potentially climbing into the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with late-spring climatological trends where average May maxima hover near 23°C but can spike several degrees higher amid favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus shows limited variability in this outlook, with minimal precipitation expected to moderate conditions, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window for any last-minute shifts from evolving upper-level dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul le 18 mai ?
25°C or higher 80%
24°C 20%
23°C 1.7%
22°C <1%
$80,825 Vol.
$80,825 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
80%
25°C or higher 80%
24°C 20%
23°C 1.7%
22°C <1%
$80,825 Vol.
$80,825 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent meteorological forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of peak temperatures reaching or exceeding 25°C in Seoul on May 18, driven by a warm air mass advected from the south under high-pressure dominance and clear skies that enhance daytime solar heating. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights daytime highs potentially climbing into the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with late-spring climatological trends where average May maxima hover near 23°C but can spike several degrees higher amid favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus shows limited variability in this outlook, with minimal precipitation expected to moderate conditions, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window for any last-minute shifts from evolving upper-level dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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