Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 14 août ?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,947 Vol.
$139,947 Vol.
14 août 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,947 Vol.
$139,947 Vol.
14 août 2026
24°C or below
$3,955 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,235 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,220 Vol.
No
27°C
$21,880 Vol.
No
28°C
$43,875 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$22,838 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,493 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,362 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,883 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,259 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,947 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$139,947Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$139,947Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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