Current numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Taipei le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Taipei le 18 mai ?
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 12.5%
NOUVEAU
$15,402 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,402 Vol.
18 mai 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
28%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
13%
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 12.5%
NOUVEAU
$15,402 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,402 Vol.
18 mai 2026
24°C or below
$908 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,008 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,502 Vol.
6%
30°C
$1,261 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,521 Vol.
24%
32°C
$1,209 Vol.
28%
33°C
$1,470 Vol.
24%
34°C or higher
$2,238 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,402Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,402Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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