Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and local meteorological services, indicate a high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 27 under persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that promote strong daytime insolation in the region's typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern. These conditions align with historical August maxima around 31–32°C yet support the market's emphasis on 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of possible model underestimation of peak heating or slight warming from reduced cloud cover. With resolution dependent on official maximum readings and no major synoptic shifts expected before tomorrow, implied probabilities capture uncertainty in afternoon temperature peaks driven by urban heat retention and humidity levels near 60%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 27 août ?
33°C 52%
34°C 41%
32°C 5%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
52%
34°C
41%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
34°C 41%
32°C 5%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
52%
34°C
41%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and local meteorological services, indicate a high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 27 under persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that promote strong daytime insolation in the region's typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern. These conditions align with historical August maxima around 31–32°C yet support the market's emphasis on 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of possible model underestimation of peak heating or slight warming from reduced cloud cover. With resolution dependent on official maximum readings and no major synoptic shifts expected before tomorrow, implied probabilities capture uncertainty in afternoon temperature peaks driven by urban heat retention and humidity levels near 60%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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