Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 12 most likely between 23–25°C under high pressure with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above seasonal averages near 23°C, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread remains narrow two days out, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or significant cooling from Atlantic fronts, keeping lower or higher extremes at very low probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 12 août ?
24°C 35%
23°C 31%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
31%
24°C
35%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
23°C 31%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
18°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1 Vol.
4%
22°C
$116 Vol.
12%
23°C
$82 Vol.
31%
24°C
$26 Vol.
35%
25°C
$76 Vol.
13%
26°C
$6 Vol.
2%
27°C
$17 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 12 most likely between 23–25°C under high pressure with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above seasonal averages near 23°C, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread remains narrow two days out, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or significant cooling from Atlantic fronts, keeping lower or higher extremes at very low probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$316Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 12 most likely between 23–25°C under high pressure with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above seasonal averages near 23°C, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread remains narrow two days out, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or significant cooling from Atlantic fronts, keeping lower or higher extremes at very low probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$316Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 12 most likely between 23–25°C under high pressure with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above seasonal averages near 23°C, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread remains narrow two days out, with minimal risk of stronger warm advection or significant cooling from Atlantic fronts, keeping lower or higher extremes at very low probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes