Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 16 near 30–31°C under sunny intervals and light westerly winds, with limited cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. This positions 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes because ensemble model runs show minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and daytime insolation that can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but a transient warm anomaly supports the elevated range. Resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station, with any late-day convective cooling or measurement timing introducing the remaining uncertainty reflected in the tight 29–30°C spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 16 août ?
29°C 40%
30°C 36%
28°C 14%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$15,484 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,484 Vol.
16 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
40%
30°C
36%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 36%
28°C 14%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$15,484 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,484 Vol.
16 août 2026
23°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$625 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$635 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1,706 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,881 Vol.
40%
30°C
$2,648 Vol.
36%
31°C
$2,825 Vol.
9%
32°C
$2,473 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$714 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 16 near 30–31°C under sunny intervals and light westerly winds, with limited cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. This positions 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes because ensemble model runs show minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and daytime insolation that can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but a transient warm anomaly supports the elevated range. Resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station, with any late-day convective cooling or measurement timing introducing the remaining uncertainty reflected in the tight 29–30°C spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,484Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 16 near 30–31°C under sunny intervals and light westerly winds, with limited cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. This positions 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes because ensemble model runs show minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and daytime insolation that can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but a transient warm anomaly supports the elevated range. Resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station, with any late-day convective cooling or measurement timing introducing the remaining uncertainty reflected in the tight 29–30°C spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,484Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 16 near 30–31°C under sunny intervals and light westerly winds, with limited cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. This positions 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes because ensemble model runs show minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and daytime insolation that can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide baseline context, but a transient warm anomaly supports the elevated range. Resolution hinges on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station, with any late-day convective cooling or measurement timing introducing the remaining uncertainty reflected in the tight 29–30°C spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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