Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 10 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 10 août ?
32°C ou plus 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 Vol.
$6,002 Vol.
10 août 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Oui
32°C ou plus 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 Vol.
$6,002 Vol.
10 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$292 Vol.
Non
23°C
$262 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,282 Vol.
Non
25°C
$226 Vol.
Non
26°C
$447 Vol.
Non
27°C
$804 Vol.
Non
28°C
$358 Vol.
Non
29°C
$602 Vol.
Non
30°C
$381 Vol.
Non
31°C
$727 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$621 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,002Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,002Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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