Recent seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey recorded exactly six earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between May 11 and 17, aligning with typical global rates of roughly five to eight such events per week. Activity clustered along major tectonic boundaries, including subduction zones in the Pacific, where plate interactions routinely produce moderate-to-strong shaking on the moment magnitude scale. No outliers exceeded magnitude 7.0, and model runs from global seismic networks showed no unusual clustering or aftershock sequences that would shift the tally. This observed count underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on six as the resolution outcome, though an unreported late event or revised magnitude assessment by USGS could still alter final verification if new data emerges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
6 94.7%
7 2.3%
≤3 <1%
4 <1%
$145,436 Vol.
$145,436 Vol.
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
95%
7
14%
8
<1%
9
<1%
>9
<1%
6 94.7%
7 2.3%
≤3 <1%
4 <1%
$145,436 Vol.
$145,436 Vol.
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
95%
7
14%
8
<1%
9
<1%
>9
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey recorded exactly six earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between May 11 and 17, aligning with typical global rates of roughly five to eight such events per week. Activity clustered along major tectonic boundaries, including subduction zones in the Pacific, where plate interactions routinely produce moderate-to-strong shaking on the moment magnitude scale. No outliers exceeded magnitude 7.0, and model runs from global seismic networks showed no unusual clustering or aftershock sequences that would shift the tally. This observed count underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on six as the resolution outcome, though an unreported late event or revised magnitude assessment by USGS could still alter final verification if new data emerges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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