Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour91% chance
$18,302 Vol.
$18,302 Vol.
30 juin 2027
91% chance
$18,302 Vol.
$18,302 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$18,302Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$18,302Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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