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icon for Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Élection municipale de Los Angeles

icon for Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 18%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,263,872 Vol.

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 18%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,263,872 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$67,559 Vol.

57%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$839,026 Vol.

24%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$93,968 Vol.

18%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$120,084 Vol.

1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$463,734 Vol.

1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$65,223 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$18,623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$19,496 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$446,222 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$103,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$28,167 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the strongest position in the June 2 primary as the sitting mayor, though recent polling shows her support hovering near 30 percent among likely voters and leaving room for a November runoff. Spencer Pratt has closed the gap sharply in the past month by highlighting public safety, homelessness, and affordability concerns that resonate with frustrated voters, climbing to roughly 22 percent in the latest surveys while drawing media attention through debates and campaign messaging. Nithya Raman remains competitive at around 20 percent by appealing to progressive constituencies on housing and equity issues. Voter indecision remains elevated, with roughly 40 percent still uncommitted just weeks before ballots are cast, which helps explain why market pricing reflects a clear but not overwhelming lead for Bass alongside meaningful backing for her two main challengers.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$2,263,872
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the strongest position in the June 2 primary as the sitting mayor, though recent polling shows her support hovering near 30 percent among likely voters and leaving room for a November runoff. Spencer Pratt has closed the gap sharply in the past month by highlighting public safety, homelessness, and affordability concerns that resonate with frustrated voters, climbing to roughly 22 percent in the latest surveys while drawing media attention through debates and campaign messaging. Nithya Raman remains competitive at around 20 percent by appealing to progressive constituencies on housing and equity issues. Voter indecision remains elevated, with roughly 40 percent still uncommitted just weeks before ballots are cast, which helps explain why market pricing reflects a clear but not overwhelming lead for Bass alongside meaningful backing for her two main challengers.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$2,263,872
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection municipale de Los Angeles » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Karen Bass » à 57%, suivi de « Spencer Pratt » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » a généré $2.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 9, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection municipale de Los Angeles », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » est « Karen Bass » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Spencer Pratt » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.