Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle in the mid- to upper 70s amid persistent hot, humid conditions with highs near 99°F. South-southeast winds of 5–10 mph promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points near 74–76°F sustain warmth through the night. Slight thunderstorm chances add minor uncertainty to cloud cover and localized cooling rates. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 74–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast model spread and typical September climatology where clear, calm nights can dip a few degrees lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 9 septembre ?
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
29%
80-81 °F
26%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88°F ou plus
1%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$63 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$158 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
29%
80-81 °F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$37 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$50 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$72 Vol.
1%
88°F ou plus
$119 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle in the mid- to upper 70s amid persistent hot, humid conditions with highs near 99°F. South-southeast winds of 5–10 mph promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points near 74–76°F sustain warmth through the night. Slight thunderstorm chances add minor uncertainty to cloud cover and localized cooling rates. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 74–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast model spread and typical September climatology where clear, calm nights can dip a few degrees lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$499Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle in the mid- to upper 70s amid persistent hot, humid conditions with highs near 99°F. South-southeast winds of 5–10 mph promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points near 74–76°F sustain warmth through the night. Slight thunderstorm chances add minor uncertainty to cloud cover and localized cooling rates. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 74–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast model spread and typical September climatology where clear, calm nights can dip a few degrees lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$499Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle in the mid- to upper 70s amid persistent hot, humid conditions with highs near 99°F. South-southeast winds of 5–10 mph promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points near 74–76°F sustain warmth through the night. Slight thunderstorm chances add minor uncertainty to cloud cover and localized cooling rates. These factors explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 74–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast model spread and typical September climatology where clear, calm nights can dip a few degrees lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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