Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C in Helsinki on September 11, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September norms of about 10°C while creating tight market balance between sub-7°C scenarios (possible with clearer skies or stronger advection) and milder readings above 12°C (if clouds or southerly flow persist). Model spreads in the 48-hour window, combined with variable pressure gradients and dew-point depression, sustain roughly equal implied probabilities for the extremes versus the central cluster around 8–10°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Helsinki le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Helsinki le 11 septembre ?
16°C ou plus 94%
6°C ou moins 93%
7°C 39%
12°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
93%
7°C
39%
8°C
21%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
38%
12°C
39%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C ou plus
94%
16°C ou plus 94%
6°C ou moins 93%
7°C 39%
12°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
93%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C in Helsinki on September 11, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September norms of about 10°C while creating tight market balance between sub-7°C scenarios (possible with clearer skies or stronger advection) and milder readings above 12°C (if clouds or southerly flow persist). Model spreads in the 48-hour window, combined with variable pressure gradients and dew-point depression, sustain roughly equal implied probabilities for the extremes versus the central cluster around 8–10°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C in Helsinki on September 11, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September norms of about 10°C while creating tight market balance between sub-7°C scenarios (possible with clearer skies or stronger advection) and milder readings above 12°C (if clouds or southerly flow persist). Model spreads in the 48-hour window, combined with variable pressure gradients and dew-point depression, sustain roughly equal implied probabilities for the extremes versus the central cluster around 8–10°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C in Helsinki on September 11, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September norms of about 10°C while creating tight market balance between sub-7°C scenarios (possible with clearer skies or stronger advection) and milder readings above 12°C (if clouds or southerly flow persist). Model spreads in the 48-hour window, combined with variable pressure gradients and dew-point depression, sustain roughly equal implied probabilities for the extremes versus the central cluster around 8–10°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes