Recent forecasts from global and regional models project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with early-spring climatology where average overnight lows reach about 11°C under the influence of the South Atlantic high. This baseline, combined with limited cold-air advection expected from passing troughs, underpins trader emphasis on the 4°C-or-below outcome as the market’s leading bracket despite its distance from the consensus range. Model spread remains modest at this lead time, yet any strengthening of a coastal low or shift in steering winds could produce a sharper overnight drop, keeping shorter-term updates from agencies such as the South African Weather Service the key driver of further probability shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 1er septembre ?
4°C or below 85%
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
4°C or below
85%
5°C
47%
6°C
25%
7°C
49%
8°C
29%
9°C
27%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C or higher
2%
4°C or below 85%
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
5°C
$0 Vol.
47%
6°C
$0 Vol.
25%
7°C
$0 Vol.
49%
8°C
$0 Vol.
29%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with early-spring climatology where average overnight lows reach about 11°C under the influence of the South Atlantic high. This baseline, combined with limited cold-air advection expected from passing troughs, underpins trader emphasis on the 4°C-or-below outcome as the market’s leading bracket despite its distance from the consensus range. Model spread remains modest at this lead time, yet any strengthening of a coastal low or shift in steering winds could produce a sharper overnight drop, keeping shorter-term updates from agencies such as the South African Weather Service the key driver of further probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with early-spring climatology where average overnight lows reach about 11°C under the influence of the South Atlantic high. This baseline, combined with limited cold-air advection expected from passing troughs, underpins trader emphasis on the 4°C-or-below outcome as the market’s leading bracket despite its distance from the consensus range. Model spread remains modest at this lead time, yet any strengthening of a coastal low or shift in steering winds could produce a sharper overnight drop, keeping shorter-term updates from agencies such as the South African Weather Service the key driver of further probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with early-spring climatology where average overnight lows reach about 11°C under the influence of the South Atlantic high. This baseline, combined with limited cold-air advection expected from passing troughs, underpins trader emphasis on the 4°C-or-below outcome as the market’s leading bracket despite its distance from the consensus range. Model spread remains modest at this lead time, yet any strengthening of a coastal low or shift in steering winds could produce a sharper overnight drop, keeping shorter-term updates from agencies such as the South African Weather Service the key driver of further probability shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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