Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 8 likely between 15–17°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with historical September minima averaging near 10–12°C but recent conditions running milder. The closely matched market-implied odds across bins from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from minor model divergences in overnight radiative cooling and local topographic effects around Table Mountain. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus on the exact daily low.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 8 septembre ?
11°C ou moins 65%
21°C ou plus 65%
13°C 47%
19°C 47%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
65%
12°C
21%
13°C
47%
14°C
30%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
24%
18°C
15%
19°C
47%
20°C
7%
21°C ou plus
65%
11°C ou moins 65%
21°C ou plus 65%
13°C 47%
19°C 47%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
65%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
47%
14°C
$5 Vol.
30%
15°C
$5 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$399 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 8 likely between 15–17°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with historical September minima averaging near 10–12°C but recent conditions running milder. The closely matched market-implied odds across bins from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from minor model divergences in overnight radiative cooling and local topographic effects around Table Mountain. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus on the exact daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Volume
$409Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 8 likely between 15–17°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with historical September minima averaging near 10–12°C but recent conditions running milder. The closely matched market-implied odds across bins from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from minor model divergences in overnight radiative cooling and local topographic effects around Table Mountain. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus on the exact daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$409Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 8 likely between 15–17°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure typical of early spring in the region’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with historical September minima averaging near 10–12°C but recent conditions running milder. The closely matched market-implied odds across bins from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from minor model divergences in overnight radiative cooling and local topographic effects around Table Mountain. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus on the exact daily low.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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