**Incoming cold air and widespread rainfall are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Chengdu’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling episode beginning the evening of September 8, with daytime highs dropping toward 24–28 °C and overnight lows likely in the 18–21 °C range amid moderate-to-heavy rain. This aligns with model consensus showing a 5–7 °C decline in daily averages and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale. The tight probabilities around 16 °C or below versus 26 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, cloud cover, and localized rain intensity, while specific-centigrade bins cluster near historical early-September minima. Updated model runs and CMA briefings through September 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 9 septembre ?
16°C ou moins 99%
26°C ou plus 98%
21°C 50%
17°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
99%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
50%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C ou plus
98%
16°C ou moins 99%
26°C ou plus 98%
21°C 50%
17°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
99%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and widespread rainfall are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Chengdu’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling episode beginning the evening of September 8, with daytime highs dropping toward 24–28 °C and overnight lows likely in the 18–21 °C range amid moderate-to-heavy rain. This aligns with model consensus showing a 5–7 °C decline in daily averages and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale.
The tight probabilities around 16 °C or below versus 26 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, cloud cover, and localized rain intensity, while specific-centigrade bins cluster near historical early-September minima. Updated model runs and CMA briefings through September 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and widespread rainfall are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Chengdu’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling episode beginning the evening of September 8, with daytime highs dropping toward 24–28 °C and overnight lows likely in the 18–21 °C range amid moderate-to-heavy rain. This aligns with model consensus showing a 5–7 °C decline in daily averages and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale.
The tight probabilities around 16 °C or below versus 26 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, cloud cover, and localized rain intensity, while specific-centigrade bins cluster near historical early-September minima. Updated model runs and CMA briefings through September 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cold air and widespread rainfall are the main drivers behind the near-even split in trader odds for Chengdu’s September 9 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling episode beginning the evening of September 8, with daytime highs dropping toward 24–28 °C and overnight lows likely in the 18–21 °C range amid moderate-to-heavy rain. This aligns with model consensus showing a 5–7 °C decline in daily averages and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale. The tight probabilities around 16 °C or below versus 26 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, cloud cover, and localized rain intensity, while specific-centigrade bins cluster near historical early-September minima. Updated model runs and CMA briefings through September 8 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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