High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 29 août ?
26°C 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,430 Vol.
$1,430 Vol.
29 août 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,430 Vol.
$1,430 Vol.
29 août 2026
21°C or below
$325 Vol.
1%
22°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$65 Vol.
1%
24°C
$86 Vol.
3%
25°C
$97 Vol.
7%
26°C
$93 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
-
28°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,430Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,430Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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