Recent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 31 août ?
26°C 44%
23°C 41%
24°C 38%
21°C or below 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
21°C or below
37%
22°C
23%
23°C
41%
24°C
38%
25°C
36%
26°C
44%
27°C
23%
28°C
22%
29°C
20%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
16%
26°C 44%
23°C 41%
24°C 38%
21°C or below 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
21°C or below
$130 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
36%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$15 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$275Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$275Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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