Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 21 août ?
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
12°C 13%
11°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
9%
12°C
13%
13°C
43%
14°C
30%
15°C
9%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C ou plus
1%
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
12°C 13%
11°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
8°C ou moins
$1,153 Vol.
1%
9°C
$5 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
7%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$20 Vol.
13%
13°C
$102 Vol.
43%
14°C
$53 Vol.
30%
15°C
$5 Vol.
9%
16°C
$26 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,365Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,365Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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