Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near or below the 14.5°C September 22 climatological average. This setup aligns with the 71.5% market-implied odds for 14°C or lower, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold pockets against warmer daytime highs near 32°C. Recent cooler anomalies in mid-September, including a 13.2°C low on the 10th, reinforce caution around model spread, while upcoming AEMET updates and any shifts in high-pressure positioning could alter the overnight trajectory before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 22 septembre ?
14°C ou moins 74%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
17°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
74%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
17%
18°C
10%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C ou plus
3%
14°C ou moins 74%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
17°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$11 Vol.
74%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near or below the 14.5°C September 22 climatological average. This setup aligns with the 71.5% market-implied odds for 14°C or lower, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold pockets against warmer daytime highs near 32°C. Recent cooler anomalies in mid-September, including a 13.2°C low on the 10th, reinforce caution around model spread, while upcoming AEMET updates and any shifts in high-pressure positioning could alter the overnight trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near or below the 14.5°C September 22 climatological average. This setup aligns with the 71.5% market-implied odds for 14°C or lower, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold pockets against warmer daytime highs near 32°C. Recent cooler anomalies in mid-September, including a 13.2°C low on the 10th, reinforce caution around model spread, while upcoming AEMET updates and any shifts in high-pressure positioning could alter the overnight trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near or below the 14.5°C September 22 climatological average. This setup aligns with the 71.5% market-implied odds for 14°C or lower, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold pockets against warmer daytime highs near 32°C. Recent cooler anomalies in mid-September, including a 13.2°C low on the 10th, reinforce caution around model spread, while upcoming AEMET updates and any shifts in high-pressure positioning could alter the overnight trajectory before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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