Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures elevated near 25–27°C, aligning with PAGASA observations of a 26.4°C minimum on August 28 and model consensus for similar conditions on the 29th. High humidity near 90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall further suppress diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical daily lows of 25–26°C, and current ensemble guidance indicates low probability of dropping below 24°C or reaching 28°C+. Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to 31°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing amid ongoing monsoon influence and potential model revisions ahead of the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 29 août ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 29 août ?
31°C ou plus 87%
27°C 50%
28°C 50%
29°C 42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
21°C ou moins
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
42%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
87%
31°C ou plus 87%
27°C 50%
28°C 50%
29°C 42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$135 Vol.
12%
22°C
$54 Vol.
4%
23°C
$34 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$34 Vol.
50%
28°C
$5 Vol.
50%
29°C
$145 Vol.
42%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures elevated near 25–27°C, aligning with PAGASA observations of a 26.4°C minimum on August 28 and model consensus for similar conditions on the 29th. High humidity near 90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall further suppress diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical daily lows of 25–26°C, and current ensemble guidance indicates low probability of dropping below 24°C or reaching 28°C+. Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to 31°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing amid ongoing monsoon influence and potential model revisions ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$417Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures elevated near 25–27°C, aligning with PAGASA observations of a 26.4°C minimum on August 28 and model consensus for similar conditions on the 29th. High humidity near 90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall further suppress diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical daily lows of 25–26°C, and current ensemble guidance indicates low probability of dropping below 24°C or reaching 28°C+. Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to 31°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing amid ongoing monsoon influence and potential model revisions ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$417Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures elevated near 25–27°C, aligning with PAGASA observations of a 26.4°C minimum on August 28 and model consensus for similar conditions on the 29th. High humidity near 90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall further suppress diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical daily lows of 25–26°C, and current ensemble guidance indicates low probability of dropping below 24°C or reaching 28°C+. Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to 31°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing amid ongoing monsoon influence and potential model revisions ahead of the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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